Shot Selection

At the end of last season, I took a look at Duke's shot distribution, and their success with each "type" of shot. The shots we have are 3pointer, dunk, layup, tip-in, and 2-point jumper. I noted that FG% on 2-point jumpers is usually bad (worse even than on 3pt shots), and thus teams should look to maximize dunks, layups, tip-ins, and 3s. Here's how Duke players (and the team as a whole) are dividing up their shots, and how they're doing on those shots (current through Michigan):

	FGM	FGA		2M	2A		3M	3A		DM	DA		LM	LA		TM	TA
Henderson	46	99	46.5	39	82	47.6	7	17	41.2	9	11	81.8	9	24	37.5			#DIV/0!
Nelson	39	84	46.4	31	62	50.0	8	22	36.4	8	10	80.0	15	27	55.6			#DIV/0!
Singler	41	72	56.9	31	46	67.4	10	26	38.5	3	3	100.0	22	29	75.9	2	2	100.0
King	34	68	50.0	11	19	57.9	23	49	46.9	1	1	100.0	6	6	100.0	1	1	100.0
Scheyer	29	60	48.3	15	32	46.9	14	28	50.0			#DIV/0!	4	10	40.0	1	1	100.0
Paulus	27	58	46.6	9	19	47.4	18	39	46.2			#DIV/0!	6	7	85.7			#DIV/0!
Smith	19	39	48.7	15	26	57.7	4	13	30.8	2	2	100.0	11	20	55.0			#DIV/0!
Thomas	16	28	57.1	16	28	57.1			#DIV/0!	5	5	100.0	9	14	64.3		1	0.0
Zoubek	15	24	62.5	15	24	62.5			#DIV/0!		1	0.0	11	14	78.6	2	2	100.0
Pocius	5	13	38.5	3	5	60.0	2	8	25.0	1	1	100.0	1	2	50.0		1	0.0
Davidson	1	2	50.0	1	1	100.0		1	0.0			#DIV/0!			#DIV/0!			#DIV/0!
McClure	1	1	100.0	1	1	100.0			#DIV/0!			#DIV/0!	1	1	100.0			#DIV/0!
	273	548	49.8	187	345	54.2	86	203	42.4	29	34	85.3	95	154	61.7	6	8	75.0
	DLM	DLA		DLTM	DLTA		O2M	O2A		NDM	NDA		JM	JA
Henderson	18	35	51.4	18	35	51.4	21	47	44.7	37	88	42.0	28	64	43.8
Nelson	23	37	62.2	23	37	62.2	8	25	32.0	31	74	41.9	16	47	34.0
Singler	25	32	78.1	27	34	79.4	4	12	33.3	38	69	55.1	14	38	36.8
King	7	7	100.0	8	8	100.0	3	11	27.3	33	67	49.3	26	60	43.3
Scheyer	4	10	40.0	5	11	45.5	10	21	47.6	29	60	48.3	24	49	49.0
Paulus	6	7	85.7	6	7	85.7	3	12	25.0	27	58	46.6	21	51	41.2
Smith	13	22	59.1	13	22	59.1	2	4	50.0	17	37	45.9	6	17	35.3
Thomas	14	19	73.7	14	20	70.0	2	8	25.0	11	23	47.8	2	8	25.0
Zoubek	11	15	73.3	13	17	76.5	2	7	28.6	15	23	65.2	2	7	28.6
Pocius	2	3	66.7	2	4	50.0	1	1	100.0	4	12	33.3	3	9	33.3
Davidson	0	0	#DIV/0!	0	0	#DIV/0!	1	1	100.0	1	2	50.0	1	2	50.0
McClure	1	1	100.0	1	1	100.0	0	0	#DIV/0!	1	1	100.0	0	0	#DIV/0!
	124	188	66.0	130	196	66.3	57	149	38.3	244	514	47.5	143	352	40.6

Here's a glossary for the categories:
FG - all field goals
2 - all 2-point field goals
3 - 3-point field goals
D - dunks
L - layups
T - tip-ins
DL - dunks and layups
DLT - dunks, layups, and tip-ins
O2 - all 2 point field goals that aren't dunks, layups, or tip-ins (broadly referred to as 2-point jumpers)
ND - all non-dunks
J - all jumpers (O2+3)

So far, Duke's distribution is 37.0% 3s, 35.8% DLT, and 27.2% other twos.