Tuesday, February 24, 2009

Maryland Preview

It's really amazing what one win can do for your season. It gives the players confidence, calms the fans down, and suddenly makes the tournament prospects look rosier. And no, I'm not talking about Duke's performance on Sunday night.

To say that Maryland has had a tumultuous season would be an understatement. The coach and the athletic department have been fighting. The team has been struggling. The players have been whining about playing time and roles. And they haven't been included in tournament talk since getting housed by Gonzaga and Georgetown in back-to-back games in November. As recently as mid-week last week, they were heading discontentedly along to the NIT, getting crushed by 29 at Clemson. And then, all of a sudden, a Saturday afternoon in late February turned everything around.

Maryland played, without question, its best game of the season when it knocked off UNC 88-85. It was the only time all season that Maryland hit double digit threes. It was the only time all season Maryland got double digit blocks. Carolina recorded the fewest assists of any ACC opponent, and hit the fewest threes of any ACC opponent. They took down a team that was unquestionably better team, and all of a sudden, they're 17-9, 6-6 in the ACC, and back on the bubble, and have an always emotional home game against Duke that could give them a third signature win (after MSU and UNC).

Every rational part of me says that this is the same Maryland team that struggled so much early in conference play. Their offense and defense are still wildly inconsistent. Even after a dominating performance against Carolina, Greivis Vasquez has had a subpar season, with an offensive rating well under 100. Only Landon Milbourne has been a reliably efficient performer - everyone else goes hot and cold. They're still small inside (they got killed on the boards by UNC), they still can't shoot (12th in the ACC), and they still have difficulty preventing teams from putting the ball in the hoop (12th in the ACC in efg% against).

Nonetheless, Maryland has a tendency to play differently when UNC and Duke come to town, and the team and fans are giong to be really up for this game. Duke will need to play well to win, and if it stays close late, anything can happen.

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